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Logic & science2 MINBrief fileContext-dependent

Mediation Analysis

Knowing that something works does not reveal the path through which it changed the outcome.

01 / SUMMARY

In short

Mediation aims to separate direct and indirect effect pathways through an intermediate variable. A causal reading requires extra assumptions, especially about confounding of the mediator and outcome.

03 / SCENE

In the wild

Tutoring might improve grades partly by increasing study time; study time is a proposed mediator.

04 / LIMIT

The limit

A coefficient shrinking after adding a mediator does not by itself prove a causal mechanism.

FINAL NOTE

What remains

Treat mediation as a causal question with assumptions, not an automatic coefficient subtraction.