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Logic & science2 MINBrief fileEstablished evidence

Central Limit Theorem

Oddly shaped data can produce averages with a much more familiar shape.

01 / SUMMARY

In short

Under suitable conditions, the distribution of means from independent samples approaches a normal distribution as sample size grows. The rate depends on the source distribution and its tails.

03 / SCENE

In the wild

Individual spending is skewed, yet the means of many large samples can form an approximately normal curve.

04 / LIMIT

The limit

The theorem does not make the original data normal, and thirty observations are not always enough.

FINAL NOTE

What remains

Identify what becomes approximately normal, under which assumptions, and at what size.