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Affirming the Consequent
“Seeing the expected result does not automatically identify what produced it.”
01 / SUMMARY
In short
The invalid form is: if A, then B; B; therefore A. B may have several causes, so its presence does not guarantee A.
03 / SCENE
In the wild
If it rains, the street gets wet. The street is wet. Rain does not follow; a cleaning truck may have passed.
04 / LIMIT
The limit
An explanation compatible with the observation is not yet the only explanation or a proven cause.
FINAL NOTE
What remains
When B appears, look for other routes that could have produced it.